Market live | live update | 2083/01/17

NEPSE Intelligence

Clear all-out trend chaina, tara strongest pockets ma selective setup baniraheko cha. Yo view le aaja ko market setup lai clearer action plan ma translate garchha.

Market Overview

2738.72

-5.73 (-0.20%)

CLOSED Rs 4916626849

Risk level: Cautious

Market Breadth

Sector breadth ra participation ko quick picture

Advance

15%

Neutral

Decline

85%

Breadth Trend

Breadth is still negative, but the damage is easing.

Aaja Ko Smart Move

Selective accumulation

Clear all-out trend chaina, tara strongest pockets ma selective setup baniraheko cha.

Timeframe Chhanaut

Short-term Medium-term Long-term

Investor Profile Chhanaut Garnuhos

Balanced Investor Trader

Market Mood

Fear trending_down

Cautious

Entry Score

Wait for confirmation

Exit Score

Hold with plan

Verified Financial Partner Space

north_east

Strong balance-sheet bhayeka companies ma selective buying garnu hos.

north_east

One-shot entry bhanda 2-3 tranches ma allocate garnu hos.

north_east

Daily breadth ra sector rotation watch garnu hos.

Aba K Garne?

Selective accumulation

20% similar setups le upside follow-through dekhayo.

NEPSE Technicals

Trend, zone, ra participation ko quick summary

Medium-term

Current Zone

Support retest zone

Market is trading around the mid-range.

Turnover Quality

Controlled pullback

Volume is 37.3% below average

Trend Strength

-1.36% over 180 sessions

Short-term momentum negative (-3.49%)

Indicator	Value	Signal
Buying Pressure	Weak	Price is soft, but the move is not being amplified by turnover.
Market Breadth	Defensive breadth	2 up / 11 down
Leadership Persistence	1 sessions	Manufacturing And Processing

Support / Resistance Bands

Support: 2676.68 - 2738.72
Resistance: 2838.4 - 2866.87

Turnover Quality

Price is soft, but the move is not being amplified by turnover.

Breadth Trend

Breadth is still negative, but the damage is easing.

Investor Psychology

Crowd mood, confidence cap, ra warning context

Market Mood

Fear trending_down

Market analysis based on the latest available session data.

Confidence Logic

55%

21 sessions matra synced cha, so confidence lai moderate lens bata hernu hos.

History depth 35%

Breadth quality 25%

Turnover conviction 20%

Leadership persistence 20%

Sector Performance

Latest relative strength anusar sector movers

Sector Movers

trending_up

Manufacturing And Processing

Leading sector

+0.84%

Bullish mood

trending_up

Banking

Leading sector

+0.02%

Bullish mood

trending_up

Non Life Insurance

Leading sector

+-0.02%

Bullish mood

trending_down

Mutual Fund

Lagging sector

-0.52%

Weak setup

trending_down

Trading

Lagging sector

-0.63%

Weak setup

trending_down

Others

Lagging sector

-0.97%

Weak setup

Verified Financial Partner Space

Personalized Advice

Balanced lens: opportunity capture garnu, tara downside discipline pani rakhnu. Risk level: Cautious

Execution Guide

arrow_forward

Strong balance-sheet bhayeka companies ma selective buying garnu hos.

arrow_forward

One-shot entry bhanda 2-3 tranches ma allocate garnu hos.

arrow_forward

Daily breadth ra sector rotation watch garnu hos.

Leadership Persistence

Manufacturing And Processing led 5 of the last 10 sector sessions.

Leadership exists, but not in a clean uninterrupted streak.

Profile Guidance

check_circle

Position size lai confidence ko sathe match garnu hos.

check_circle

Leadership sectors ma matra conviction badhaunu hos.

check_circle

Breadth defensive bhaye cash ra hedge mindset lai priority dinu hos.

Historical Pattern Comparison

Pachhilla 5 similar setups ko context

5 cases

Historical Read

Past similar setups often pulled back first.

5 comparable session madhye downside volatility pahila dekhine tendency cha.

Downside Warning

80%

Upside Probability

20%

2083/01/11

Distance 4.4

-1.79%

Worst dip -1.79%

2083/01/07

Distance 5.2

-1.02%

Worst dip -1.35%

2083/01/10

Distance 5.5

-1.74%

Worst dip -1.74%

2083/01/14

Distance 6.3

-2.06%

Worst dip -2.06%

2082/12/24

Distance 7.2

4.14%

Worst dip 1.8%

Support / Resistance Bands

Selected timeframe ko trigger levels with action context

Range Mid 2788.56

Support

2676.68 - 2738.72

Selective accumulation zone

Current Zone

Support retest zone

Market is trading around the mid-range.

Resistance

2838.4 - 2866.87

Breakout decision zone

Bullish continuation

Above 2876.46

Upside continuation gets stronger if NEPSE closes above this level with positive breadth and controlled pullback.

Base case / range trade

Between 2738.72 and 2838.40

Active

This zone favors selective accumulation, rotation, and patience while sector leadership stays mixed.

Cautious / risk-off

Below 2667.09

A decisive close below this level would weaken structure and shift focus toward capital protection.

Last 5 Session Sector Heatmap

Green = positive, gray = flat, red = negative. Dates BS ma synced sector sessions hun.

Sector	2083/01/11	2083/01/14	2083/01/15	2083/01/16	2083/01/17	Latest
Manufacturing And Processing 3/5 positive sessions	+0.66%	+1.52%	-2.46%	-2.24%	+0.84%	+0.84%
Banking 3/5 positive sessions	+0.22%	+0.68%	-0.80%	-0.76%	+0.02%	+0.02%
Non Life Insurance 1/5 positive sessions	-0.06%	+0.15%	-0.39%	-1.11%	-0.02%	-0.02%
Hotels And Tourism 2/5 positive sessions	+0.32%	+0.97%	-2.56%	-1.64%	-0.04%	-0.04%
Finance 1/5 positive sessions	-0.62%	+0.44%	-0.56%	-0.64%	-0.20%	-0.20%
Life Insurance 1/5 positive sessions	-0.26%	+0.13%	-0.16%	-0.84%	-0.26%	-0.26%
Microfinance 1/5 positive sessions	-0.35%	+0.29%	-0.44%	-0.54%	-0.34%	-0.34%
Hydropower 1/5 positive sessions	+0.25%	-0.19%	-1.74%	-1.45%	-0.40%	-0.40%
Investment 0/5 positive sessions	-0.02%	-0.28%	-0.47%	-0.66%	-0.42%	-0.42%
Development Bank 3/5 positive sessions	+0.22%	+1.14%	-1.22%	+0.14%	-0.48%	-0.48%
Mutual Fund 0/5 positive sessions	-0.01%	-0.07%	-0.35%	+0.01%	-0.52%	-0.52%
Trading 2/5 positive sessions	+0.58%	-1.39%	-0.39%	+1.09%	-0.63%	-0.63%
Others 1/5 positive sessions	-1.02%	-0.44%	+0.73%	-0.92%	-0.97%	-0.97%

Recent Session Integrity

Latest sessions ko close, change, ra turnover

Date (BS)	Close	Change %	Turnover
2083/01/17	2738.72	-0.20%	4916626849
2083/01/16	2744.45	-0.93%	4986294173
2083/01/15	2770.26	-0.93%	6531723226
2083/01/14	2796.43	0.27%	4748809128
2083/01/11	2788.70	0.05%	5270399728

Tactical Strategies

Current setup ko positioning ideas

stacked_line_chart

Staged Entry

Capital lai 2-3 tranches ma divide garera confirmation sanga scale-in garnu hos.

Reduces timing pressure

query_stats

Defense First

Lagging sectors avoid garera only resilient names shortlist garnu hos.

Cuts weak exposure

shield

Risk Guard

Invalidation level agadi nai define garera downside plan ready rakhnu hos.

Protects capital discipline

NEPSE Intelligence

Market Breadth

Selective accumulation

NEPSE Technicals

Investor Psychology

Sector Performance

Personalized Advice

Manufacturing And Processing led 5 of the last 10 sector sessions.

Historical Pattern Comparison

Past similar setups often pulled back first.

Support / Resistance Bands

Last 5 Session Sector Heatmap

Recent Session Integrity

Tactical Strategies

Staged Entry

Defense First

Risk Guard

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